0x143D8058B292de4f11c4f309b156F31b50285FD5-1773035219678
0x143d8058b292de4f11c4f309b156f31b50285fd5
- Realised P&L
- $8.3k
- Volume
- $87.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.305 | $17.4k | −$442.90 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.496 | 0.496 | $1.0k | +$0.73 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$482.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.9kat 0.185Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$59.28at 0.620Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-699.94at 0.380Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.0k |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4961365507 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.0k |
| 09-17 17:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3099999999 | $789.00 |
| 08-27 16:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3197655449 | $9.0k |
| 08-27 16:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-27 16:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.239073567 | $482.02 |
| 06-21 23:33 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.988 | $159.35 |
| 06-21 23:33 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.989 | $12.1k |
| 03-26 16:12 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $81.90 |
| 03-18 02:46 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1486031294 | $100.00 |
| 03-17 02:11 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 03-15 21:09 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-15 04:01 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3834662982 | $500.00 |