PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdxxfv

0x14383f92eb61a2ab7935880df94dc86653e4526f

Realised P&L
$-13.85
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$76.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8620.866$26.85+$0.12
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.8600.959$9.59+$0.99
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9600.903$9.04$0.56
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9000.958$5.75+$0.34
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No0.9280.920$5.52$0.04
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9210.983$4.92+$0.31
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8600.925$4.63+$0.33
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.915$4.58+$0.38
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1340.105$4.51$1.26
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5530.091$1.09$5.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 21:09Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.861$16.36
07-07 05:11Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.723$4.34
07-04 20:06Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.11$2.42
06-27 18:31Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.516$2.58
06-22 14:36Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$2.08
06-20 14:25Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.28
06-18 03:45Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.864$10.37
06-15 18:25Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.25$2.25
06-13 06:35Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.928$5.57
06-08 03:47Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
06-05 02:43U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.9$5.40
06-02 10:10Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
05-21 07:12Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.921$4.61
04-24 23:27Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.796$5.57
04-24 23:01Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.415$2.07