sdxxfv
0x14383f92eb61a2ab7935880df94dc86653e4526f
- Realised P&L
- $-13.85
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $76.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.862 | 0.866 | $26.85 | +$0.12 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.959 | $9.59 | +$0.99 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.960 | 0.903 | $9.04 | −$0.56 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.958 | $5.75 | +$0.34 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · No | 0.928 | 0.920 | $5.52 | −$0.04 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No | 0.921 | 0.983 | $4.92 | +$0.31 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.925 | $4.63 | +$0.33 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.915 | $4.58 | +$0.38 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.134 | 0.105 | $4.51 | −$1.26 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.091 | $1.09 | −$5.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.97at 0.500Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
- +$9.43at 0.500Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.056Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.36at 0.723Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.22at 0.270Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 21:09 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.861 | $16.36 |
| 07-07 05:11 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.723 | $4.34 |
| 07-04 20:06 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 06-27 18:31 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.516 | $2.58 |
| 06-22 14:36 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.08 |
| 06-20 14:25 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.28 |
| 06-18 03:45 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.864 | $10.37 |
| 06-15 18:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.25 |
| 06-13 06:35 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.928 | $5.57 |
| 06-08 03:47 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-05 02:43 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.40 |
| 06-02 10:10 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 05-21 07:12 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.921 | $4.61 |
| 04-24 23:27 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.796 | $5.57 |
| 04-24 23:01 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.415 | $2.07 |