0x14348d2bf24d14d420bcc8ad432dac721e662b21
0x14348d2bf24d14d420bcc8ad432dac721e662b21
- Realised P&L
- $18.53
- Volume
- $38.25
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $15.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar48.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Navy (-7.5) · UAB | 0.540 | 0.555 | $5.05 | +$0.14 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-2.5) · Jaguars | 0.500 | 0.535 | $2.92 | +$0.19 |
| Spread: Washington (-10.5) · Minnesota | 0.500 | 0.535 | $1.95 | +$0.13 |
| Panthers vs. Browns: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.475 | $1.94 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: SMU (-35.5) · Missouri State | 0.500 | 0.540 | $1.93 | +$0.14 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.605 | $1.77 | +$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.56at 0.461San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$7.00at 0.300San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
- +$3.97at 0.500Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:37 | Spread: Navy (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5399999758 | $4.91 |
| 09-23 20:52 | San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-23 20:38 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | SELL | 0.999 | $14.03 |
| 09-23 18:19 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.38 | $1.95 |