kaliom
0x142541b4dd8ac5e793e01c06e683035df3f8d60d
- Realised P&L
- $-608.14
- Volume
- $164.9k
- Markets traded
- 7,644
- Open portfolio
- $35.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,644
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.28at 0.227Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$138.28at 0.101Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$137.12at 0.345Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$116.38at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$116.17at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 21:26 | Counter-Strike: M80 vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 19:23 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $25.50 |
| 09-25 19:12 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 19:03 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.43 | $0.75 |
| 09-25 19:02 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.94 | $24.00 |
| 09-25 18:07 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 17:59 | LoL: FALKE Esports vs Kawaii Kiwis (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 09-25 16:35 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | BUY | 0.96 | $22.08 |
| 09-25 16:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 09-25 16:28 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.96 | $3.50 |
| 09-25 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $13.50 |
| 09-25 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 25? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.06 |
| 09-25 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 09-25 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |