PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

heymanwhatareu

0x1422aeb3f4ba6914dfcf67a3ffd8e4f34b3792d5

Realised P&L
$-188.59
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$333.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9270.955$146.25+$4.26
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9410.959$47.67+$0.89
Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7900.815$40.75+$1.25
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7400.760$37.47+$0.99
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6700.365$18.25−$15.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2700.300$15.30+$1.53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0520.074$11.91+$3.53
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2100.185$9.25−$1.25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0560.048$3.47−$0.64
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0400.045$2.31+$0.28
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.5200.385$0.77−$0.27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0400.000$0.00−$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$9.75
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:18Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.27$13.77
09-30 22:07Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.79$39.50
09-29 02:51Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.004$0.20
09-28 05:23Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.67$33.50
09-28 02:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.33$13.20
09-27 20:38Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.59$29.50
09-27 11:24Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.067$3.35
09-27 04:25Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.21$10.50
09-26 22:53Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.057$2.85
09-26 12:50Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.056$2.80
09-26 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.056$2.80
09-26 03:16Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.41$19.68
09-26 02:27Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.58$29.00
09-25 18:12Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?SELL0.018$0.90
09-25 14:54Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.106$5.30