heymanwhatareu
0x1422aeb3f4ba6914dfcf67a3ffd8e4f34b3792d5
- Realised P&L
- $-188.59
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $333.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.34at 0.120Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$29.64at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
- +$27.67at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?
- +$25.44at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29?
- +$24.80at 0.327Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.27 | $13.77 |
| 09-30 22:07 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 09-29 02:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 09-28 05:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 09-28 02:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 09-27 20:38 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-27 11:24 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.067 | $3.35 |
| 09-27 04:25 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-26 22:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.057 | $2.85 |
| 09-26 12:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.056 | $2.80 |
| 09-26 03:16 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.41 | $19.68 |
| 09-26 02:27 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 09-25 18:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.90 |
| 09-25 14:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.106 | $5.30 |