PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1416c5f1b633822f3ecf9588313f0f59c007d1aa

Realised P&L
$-5.10
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$208.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 04:33Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.5086256781$16.88
03-30 04:32Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?SELL0.017$1.25
03-30 04:32Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?SELL0.04$0.71
03-30 04:32Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.17$5.61
03-30 04:32Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$5.91
03-30 04:31Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$7.50
03-28 09:55Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?SELL0.18$3.46
03-15 09:42Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL0.51$51.00
03-13 01:22Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6$10.30
03-12 01:02Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.316$7.66
03-10 13:44Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.044$8.79
03-10 11:47Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0139549995$3.10
03-10 11:33Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY0.036$0.28
03-10 10:34Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.35$16.43
03-10 10:24Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?BUY0.44$5.32