0x1416c5f1b633822f3ecf9588313f0f59c007d1aa
- Realised P&L
- $-5.10
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $208.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.24at 0.170Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$0.33at 0.160Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
- +$-0.57at 0.340Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.90at 0.519Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-3.12at 0.170Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 04:33 | Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.5086256781 | $16.88 |
| 03-30 04:32 | Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.25 |
| 03-30 04:32 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.71 |
| 03-30 04:32 | Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $5.61 |
| 03-30 04:32 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.91 |
| 03-30 04:31 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $7.50 |
| 03-28 09:55 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.46 |
| 03-15 09:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 03-13 01:22 | Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.30 |
| 03-12 01:02 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.316 | $7.66 |
| 03-10 13:44 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.044 | $8.79 |
| 03-10 11:47 | Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0139549995 | $3.10 |
| 03-10 11:33 | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.28 |
| 03-10 10:34 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $16.43 |
| 03-10 10:24 | Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.32 |