PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Shallan

0x1414a2cce044963a2de179927b539b1ddfdb18fc

Realised P&L
$385.88
Volume
$944.6k
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$12.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 14? · Yes0.0010.001$10.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 14? · Yes0.0010.001$2.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.026$0.29−$0.71
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.029$0.25−$0.75
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.035$0.24−$0.76
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 18? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 24? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 28? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.97
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on May 29? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on June 3? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.49
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.90
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 18:44Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 13?SELL0.002$2.00
10-06 22:46Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 6?SELL0.002$0.02
10-06 21:37Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 6?SELL0.002$0.02
10-04 15:19Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?SELL0.049$0.05
09-28 20:28Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 28?SELL0.002$1.00
09-24 17:17Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24?SELL0.002$1.73
09-24 17:13Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24?SELL0.002$0.02
09-24 17:13Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24?SELL0.002$0.02
09-24 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24?SELL0.002$0.20
09-24 17:12Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24?SELL0.003$0.04
09-23 20:59Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 23?SELL0.002$1.00
09-14 19:59Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14?SELL0.004$1.40
09-14 18:13Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14?SELL0.002$0.76
09-14 18:06Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14?SELL0.005$0.50
09-14 18:06Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14?SELL0.006$0.06