Shallan
0x1414a2cce044963a2de179927b539b1ddfdb18fc
- Realised P&L
- $385.88
- Volume
- $944.6k
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $12.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.80at 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$80.66at 0.086Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$68.04at 0.042Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
- +$49.14at 0.006Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$48.08at 0.002Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 13? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 22:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-06 21:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-04 15:19 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.05 |
| 09-28 20:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 28? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 17:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.73 |
| 09-24 17:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 17:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 09-24 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-24 17:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 09-23 20:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 23? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.40 |
| 09-14 18:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.76 |
| 09-14 18:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 18:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 14? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.06 |