Novaaant
0x140cbe0adcd8dce0c4d6de524407fa1626914395
- Realised P&L
- $-83.84
- Volume
- $36.5k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $375.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.999 | $375.62 | +$0.00 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.60at 0.730Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$16.66at 0.941Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?
- +$13.72at 0.779Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$11.81at 0.884SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
- +$7.88at 0.978Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 15:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 09-02 06:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 08-25 02:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 08-25 02:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $73.28 |
| 08-25 02:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 08-24 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $249.25 |
| 08-24 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $48.95 |
| 08-18 10:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $356.64 |
| 08-14 04:21 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 08-14 04:21 | Will Solana dip to $55 on August 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 08-05 14:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $359.28 |
| 08-03 08:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 07-31 09:28 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 07-25 13:47 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.95 | $36.10 |
| 07-23 11:49 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $36.29 |