PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Novaaant

0x140cbe0adcd8dce0c4d6de524407fa1626914395

Realised P&L
$-83.84
Volume
$36.5k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$375.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9990.999$375.62+$0.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$8.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 15:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?BUY0.998$10.98
09-02 06:44Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?BUY0.998$4.99
08-25 02:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?BUY0.999$199.80
08-25 02:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?BUY0.997$73.28
08-25 02:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?BUY0.34$3.40
08-24 14:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24?BUY0.997$249.25
08-24 14:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 24?BUY0.997$48.95
08-18 10:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 18?BUY0.999$356.64
08-14 04:21Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.997$4.99
08-14 04:21Will Solana dip to $55 on August 14?BUY0.999$14.98
08-05 14:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 6?BUY0.998$359.28
08-03 08:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 4?BUY0.999$299.70
07-31 09:28Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 in July?BUY0.999$57.94
07-25 13:47Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?BUY0.95$36.10
07-23 11:49Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.995$36.29