javibids
0x140b65765b1a5aa747f2b1429d2fb71d1a25d5c3
- Realised P&L
- $535.53
- Volume
- $84.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $0.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.09 | −$0.03 |
| Will Michael win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.451Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?
- +$2.2kat 0.320Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
- +$679.48at 0.166Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
- +$517.30at 0.045Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$448.98at 0.102Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 15:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | SELL | 0.5528590059 | $574.41 |
| 08-17 13:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.04 | $17.56 |
| 08-07 05:26 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.232 | $4.64 |
| 08-07 05:26 | Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.233 | $9.32 |
| 06-03 23:35 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 06-03 23:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? | BUY | 0.21 | $36.35 |
| 06-03 23:26 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.53 |
| 06-03 23:08 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.44 |
| 06-03 23:07 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.44 |
| 06-03 23:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 06-03 23:01 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 06-03 23:00 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.52 |
| 06-03 22:59 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 06-03 22:58 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $40.02 |
| 06-03 22:47 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.28 |