0x140570139DBc097f7Ab7F15E65E9C99A2427d36F-1762618219806
0x140570139dbc097f7ab7f15e65e9c99a2427d36f
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $205.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,555
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,555
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group A · MORROW | 0.753 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$153.89 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 3? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 3? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.90at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$222.79at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$197.19at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
- +$171.51at 0.740Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
- +$152.21at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:47 | Counter-Strike: MORROW vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #11 Group A | BUY | 0.7531158782 | $153.99 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.889152677 | $156.78 |
| 10-08 17:42 | Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7202505295 | $127.00 |
| 10-08 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $37.59 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7524752304 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $117.59 |
| 10-08 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |