PolyBot

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Traders

disdatderedem

0x14050ed76c1a3bec25cb97cc623ceb3899d79db0

Realised P&L
$17.7k
Volume
$404.7k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$170.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.894$89.5k+$39.5k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9490.974$29.2k+$726.95
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9350.983$12.5k+$605.73
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.105$10.6k$39.5k
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7950.945$10.0k+$1.6k
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.962$9.6k+$1.0k
Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.977$4.0k+$96.42
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.6950.864$1.9k+$380.93
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.915$1.8k+$0.00
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.947$947.00+$17.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$298.73+$1.63
Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9310.980$84.96+$4.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 13:25Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9817637375$3.9k
08-22 01:13Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.985$77.13
08-22 01:13Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9647446169$647.86
08-22 01:13Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.963$96.30
08-17 19:34Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96$1.1k
08-17 19:34Will Ethereum dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9587777778$862.90
08-13 09:28Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$425.23
07-20 20:29Will Ethereum dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.931$80.75
07-09 01:06Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.962$14.43
07-09 01:06Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.961$94.09
07-08 17:32Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.51$2.2k
07-08 00:27Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.969$1.2k
07-07 09:23Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.986$7.06
07-01 04:08Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.972$291.60
07-01 04:07Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.912$273.60