PolyBot

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Traders

0x13fd785335c1b1fa825cfd4176a07fb44bd9f553

Realised P&L
$95.42
Volume
$40.2k
Markets traded
604
Open portfolio
$126.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded604
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No0.8300.875$60.31+$3.10
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes0.2990.460$31.94+$11.16
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.6600.675$24.65+$0.55
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No0.6440.705$6.26+$0.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$3.75$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 01:06Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2959999601$3.62
08-09 00:11Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2999999696$4.94
08-09 00:11Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.2999999853$12.22
08-07 13:19Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?SELL0.7032766278$83.92
08-06 08:22Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 6?BUY0.01$2.36
08-05 08:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.009$0.72
08-05 08:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.0090000001$1.04
08-05 08:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.008$0.47
08-05 08:07Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.0090000001$1.04
08-05 08:06Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5?BUY0.0089999914$1.04
08-04 16:08Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6?SELL0.29$0.72
08-04 08:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.0149999944$2.66
08-04 08:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.0140000002$1.04
08-04 08:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.0140000002$1.04
08-04 08:14Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.0125514381$1.17