0x13fd785335c1b1fa825cfd4176a07fb44bd9f553
- Realised P&L
- $95.42
- Volume
- $40.2k
- Markets traded
- 604
- Open portfolio
- $126.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded604
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.875 | $60.31 | +$3.10 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.460 | $31.94 | +$11.16 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.675 | $24.65 | +$0.55 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No | 0.644 | 0.705 | $6.26 | +$0.54 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.07at 0.424Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$234.79at 0.175Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$186.74at 0.202Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
- +$154.52at 0.625Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$69.38at 0.460Clippers vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 01:06 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.2959999601 | $3.62 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.2999999696 | $4.94 |
| 08-09 00:11 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.2999999853 | $12.22 |
| 08-07 13:19 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.7032766278 | $83.92 |
| 08-06 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.36 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.72 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.47 |
| 08-05 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.04 |
| 08-05 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0089999914 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.72 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0149999944 | $2.66 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0140000002 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0140000002 | $1.04 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0125514381 | $1.17 |