0x13fd785335c1b1fa825cfd4176a07fb44bd9f553
0x13fd785335c1b1fa825cfd4176a07fb44bd9f553
- Realised P&L
- $-133.24
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 618
- Open portfolio
- $137.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded618
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.525 | $45.01 | +$0.87 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · Yes | 0.828 | 1.000 | $32.22 | +$5.56 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.122 | $16.16 | −$27.01 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.325 | $11.87 | −$12.23 |
| Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? · No | 0.660 | 0.976 | $8.36 | +$2.70 |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? · No | 0.644 | 0.939 | $8.33 | +$2.61 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? · No | 0.879 | 0.875 | $7.82 | −$0.03 |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.870 | $3.84 | +$1.98 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.042 | $2.08 | −$2.92 |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.380 | $1.66 | +$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.09at 0.427Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
- +$233.55at 0.179Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe
- +$184.01at 0.214Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?
- +$151.45at 0.631Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$69.38at 0.460Clippers vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:58 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.09 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.8499996822 | $2.14 |
| 09-23 08:34 | Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.8899999953 | $5.71 |
| 09-23 00:26 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? | SELL | 0.3219225806 | $9.98 |
| 09-21 14:31 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.02 |
| 09-21 12:16 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.42 |
| 09-21 11:48 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.77 |
| 09-21 11:27 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199998959 | $5.83 |
| 09-21 11:21 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999733 | $4.97 |
| 09-21 11:15 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199995637 | $1.09 |
| 09-21 11:09 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199998514 | $2.98 |
| 09-21 11:00 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.15 |
| 09-21 11:00 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $20.11 |
| 09-21 09:20 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.73 |
| 09-21 09:20 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $18.15 |