0x13f995ad154DA3E078aC2a1dd923bF2b265dd352-1789469513705
0x13f995ad154da3e078ac2a1dd923bf2b265dd352
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $137.9k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $12.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.005Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 18?
- +$2.1kat 0.012Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 16?
- +$7.55at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20?
- +$-1.05at 0.001Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 16?
- +$-1.05at 0.001Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0709773434 | $23.97 |
| 09-20 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.8 | $55.14 |
| 09-20 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.336 | $10.08 |
| 09-20 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.095476027 | $114.00 |
| 09-20 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.94 |
| 09-20 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0092001665 | $2.54 |
| 09-20 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2256816633 | $9.93 |
| 09-20 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.67 |
| 09-20 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.029 | $4.29 |
| 09-20 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.95 |
| 09-20 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0071067631 | $6.28 |
| 09-20 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0038783115 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0407464172 | $16.38 |
| 09-20 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0341742383 | $31.80 |
| 09-20 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.0641546697 | $60.64 |