0x13f5caee273a69fe5abc53eb4f85eb275f47f7cc
0x13f5caee273a69fe5abc53eb4f85eb275f47f7cc
- Realised P&L
- $18.32
- Volume
- $177.38
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $57.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) · Cowboys | 0.500 | 0.485 | $48.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.245 | $9.17 | −$9.54 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.32 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.19at 0.500Pelicans vs. Thunder
- +$43.48at 0.500Dana White's Contender Series: Preston LaGrange vs. Nell Ariano (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$28.87at 0.500Spread: Florida International (-5.5)
- +$4.00at 0.500Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 00:38 | Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5) | SELL | 0.53 | $94.01 |