0x13f1902b7b011b8dfb68ade17c57e965bcf6fae3
0x13f1902b7b011b8dfb68ade17c57e965bcf6fae3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.80
- Volume
- $142.91
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $1.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.210 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.87at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$3.27at 0.258Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?
- +$1.77at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:09 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:11 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:24 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 02:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 03:58 | Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:56 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on October 14? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 18:28 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:46 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:45 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:56 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:52 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |