bathketolanx
0x13e525a22d55739bf55fe835720e0bee597977e9
- Realised P&L
- $-190.29
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $51.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.108 | $51.53 | −$171.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.16at 0.784Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$10.89at 0.970Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
- +$8.88at 0.912Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$8.66at 0.915Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$6.46at 0.984Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-21 06:56 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.37 | $107.61 |
| 05-21 06:56 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.84 |
| 05-21 06:56 | Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $2.63 |
| 05-21 06:55 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.751 | $3.41 |
| 03-16 12:30 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6659147047 | $193.68 |
| 03-16 12:25 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3011177945 | $16.82 |
| 03-16 12:25 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5385567846 | $185.99 |
| 01-28 06:20 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8809999738 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 06:19 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7159999871 | $40.00 |
| 01-28 06:19 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.6599999296 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 06:19 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.6799998096 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 06:19 | Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 01-28 06:19 | Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.6799998096 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 06:18 | Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.6159999524 | $3.00 |
| 01-28 06:17 | Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $436.25 |