0x13e1e2ffaced577944fac627d193940253c63b92
- Realised P&L
- $1.96
- Volume
- $44.42
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $5.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.875 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.725 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.495 | $0.82 | −$0.17 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? · No | 0.760 | 0.420 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.105 | $0.46 | −$0.54 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.175 | $0.36 | −$0.64 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.095 | $0.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.011 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.70at 0.370Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.38at 0.420Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$1.38at 0.420Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$0.85at 0.540Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.56at 0.640Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 11:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 7? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 02:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 18:46 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:37 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 02:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:19 | Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 10:11 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:54 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:48 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:43 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:21 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |