0x13d7DB322b980727d2c6B7B51F65AB0520d90dc5-1780045018388
0x13d7db322b980727d2c6b7b51f65ab0520d90dc5
- Realised P&L
- $265.42
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $265.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.520 | $159.06 | −$40.94 |
| Will United States win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.545 | $106.86 | +$6.86 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$253.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:32 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 17:31 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5856292871 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 17:05 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 15:14 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 15:12 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0391860292 | $235.62 |
| 05-30 15:11 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999996 | $200.00 |
| 05-30 15:10 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.164 | $205.00 |
| 05-30 15:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.168 | $210.00 |
| 05-30 15:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999992 | $90.00 |
| 05-30 15:03 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0379999974 | $13.54 |
| 05-30 14:58 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0379999907 | $3.86 |