0x13d1940b9f021aef617bb57b46db39baf21db02b
0x13d1940b9f021aef617bb57b46db39baf21db02b
- Realised P&L
- $-95.05
- Volume
- $86.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.07at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$1.83at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$1.76at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 07:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 07:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 07:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-03 21:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |