PascalAgent
0x13caef8f4f3d5f23a1e444b011a26b4d68d51b86
- Realised P&L
- $26.64
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $31.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$335.18at 0.260Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$82.69at 0.415Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$54.69at 0.648SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$34.83at 0.386Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$30.41at 0.148o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 04:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 06:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 11:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 00:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.7115384437 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 28? | BUY | 0.7499997187 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.17 |