PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Croydon

0x13c97cbde5677b7dd286f8cb4362a9e73a67af7d

Realised P&L
$617.63
Volume
$35.2k
Markets traded
568
Open portfolio
$27.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded568
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? · Yes0.2300.270$11.74+$1.74
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3400.335$9.85−$0.15
Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.065$2.79−$0.21
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.0260.023$2.65−$0.35
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 Action of the Year? · Yes0.0760.018$0.46−$1.54
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0380.001$0.07−$4.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.0330.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7PM ET · Down0.3130.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - August 6, 6AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$3.00
Solana Up or Down - July 27, 7PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - August 8, 6PM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$2.30
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 · Over0.0300.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
10-02 22:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
10-02 22:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.0599999988$1.00
10-02 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.109999989$1.00
10-02 22:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-02 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.0476190476$1.00
10-02 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.2299999782$2.00
10-02 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-02 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.3099999954$2.00
10-02 22:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.16$2.00
10-02 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-02 21:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-02 21:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETBUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-02 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSELL0.94$7.23
10-02 21:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.2599999896$2.00