Swampmaster247
0x13bfcba70fd0d327132ae707a71c228e3dada36f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.18
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $4.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.41at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$16.91at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$15.11at 0.730Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$12.09at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$9.09at 0.441Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.72 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.66 |
| 09-25 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.33 |
| 09-25 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 09-25 05:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299997795 | $1.40 |
| 09-25 00:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 09-24 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.048129813 | $0.44 |
| 09-24 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.270967707 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.90 |