0x13bdce34650f7a5722e3399f3694fba1f7ce727a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.5k
- Volume
- $212.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $841.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.006 | $666.43 | −$2.8k |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.003 | $175.03 | −$3.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.73at 0.395Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.66at 0.600Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-78.41at 0.031Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 01:48 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0410271714 | $258.02 |
| 04-22 01:48 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0482511291 | $234.24 |
| 04-22 01:47 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0220189642 | $497.50 |
| 04-22 01:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3965335121 | $999.73 |
| 04-15 00:03 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0344703114 | $100.65 |
| 04-15 00:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $101.16 |
| 04-13 20:50 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0496250723 | $829.11 |
| 04-12 20:03 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0284121759 | $99.50 |
| 04-12 15:11 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0309559428 | $995.00 |
| 04-11 16:24 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0276046484 | $99.50 |
| 04-11 16:24 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $99.50 |
| 04-10 15:12 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0489999998 | $199.00 |
| 04-10 15:12 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0260338454 | $199.00 |
| 04-10 00:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $99.50 |
| 04-10 00:23 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0379999996 | $99.50 |