halulula
0x13ba02e5c3194cea8788dd71977696e6e6c2d971
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $218.3k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.844 | 0.804 | $885.61 | −$44.31 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.947 | $718.77 | −$9.87 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 20? · No | 0.670 | 0.730 | $171.55 | +$14.10 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.885 | $114.17 | +$8.39 |
| Reya FDV above $10M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.789 | 0.500 | $99.17 | −$57.32 |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $37.50 | −$12.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$286.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$786.59at 0.731Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
- +$392.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$361.64at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$331.12at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$286.16at 0.743Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $286.02 |
| 09-30 03:32 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.8k |
| 09-30 03:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.898 | $62.86 |
| 09-28 09:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $203.58 |
| 09-28 09:19 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.77 | $441.73 |
| 09-28 02:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.0601726803 | $184.13 |
| 09-23 07:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.842 | $421.00 |
| 09-23 07:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-23 02:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.79 | $155.77 |
| 09-22 10:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $422.32 |
| 09-22 10:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.4k |
| 09-22 10:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 09-22 10:46 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | SELL | 0.8868891925 | $895.95 |
| 09-22 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $10.84 |
| 09-22 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.6385820182 | $427.29 |