Lesivv
0x13b67565c8098b7fdcbdb8d7bd311f11989bc633
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $2.82M
- Markets traded
- 5,890
- Open portfolio
- $115.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,890
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.78at 0.018Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 31?
- +$101.99at 0.002MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
- +$78.29at 0.005Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on January 31?
- +$76.00at 0.005Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 18?
- +$74.16at 0.005Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:41 | Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.118 | $1.18 |
| 11-01 11:37 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.38 |
| 11-01 11:37 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.111 | $1.39 |
| 11-01 11:35 | Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 10:21 | Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026? | SELL | 0.077 | $0.85 |
| 10-31 18:13 | Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.67 |
| 10-31 18:13 | Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.02 |
| 10-31 15:33 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in November? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 10-31 15:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | SELL | 0.017 | $1.53 |
| 10-31 15:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.99 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in November? | SELL | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-30 08:13 | Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 08:12 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 08:11 | Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $7.42 |