RyanSkinner1824
0x13b62d706cd10a3615494e566082b327aac4ba85
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $119.4k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $2.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.135 | $2.02 | −$6.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.84at 0.520Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
- +$355.89at 0.539Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
- +$282.75at 0.710Will Trump say "Tariff" during the announcement on December 22?
- +$246.84at 0.390Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$177.84at 0.160Will "GOAT" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 19:35 | Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $511.16 |
| 03-22 02:55 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $19.52 |
| 03-21 20:04 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.84 |
| 03-20 21:28 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $40.26 |
| 03-18 13:54 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.11 | $60.50 |
| 03-16 18:14 | Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50? | BUY | 0.11 | $60.50 |
| 03-10 16:32 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $19.24 |
| 03-07 03:16 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.20 |
| 02-27 16:43 | Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? | SELL | 0.899 | $63.83 |
| 02-23 05:36 | Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.40 |
| 02-22 22:35 | Will Trump say "Directly To The People" this week? (March 1) | SELL | 0.34 | $194.82 |
| 02-22 22:22 | Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.17 | $23.80 |
| 02-22 20:09 | Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $670.33 |
| 02-22 19:44 | Will Trump say "Directly To The People" this week? (March 1) | BUY | 0.67 | $383.91 |
| 02-22 19:22 | Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.15 | $36.60 |