Messigamad
0x13b3f8bdb86b592058c008d55497d5e25a647552
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $301.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $15.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.132Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$1.2kat 0.404US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$999.99at 0.310US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$123.11at 0.460Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$41.53at 0.180Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:10 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 18:10 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $20.00 |
| 09-10 18:06 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.024 | $56.00 |
| 07-31 23:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 23:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.0040100825 | $1.65 |
| 07-31 23:44 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.005 | $11.62 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.31 |
| 07-31 08:06 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.0083487194 | $85.00 |
| 07-26 09:17 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.02 | $53.33 |
| 07-24 19:23 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0076365025 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 16:03 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0097087379 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 15:21 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0469999956 | $10.00 |
| 07-21 10:13 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 18:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? | BUY | 0.0911719978 | $100.00 |