0x13AE9C0f1b8353104FC53eF49f17626d03349eC5-1781045556727
0x13ae9c0f1b8353104fc53ef49f17626d03349ec5
- Realised P&L
- $-33.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $5.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.15at 0.177Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.43at 0.113Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.27at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$3.94at 0.337Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.10at 0.245Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 00:42 | Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:23 | Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 10:22 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%? | BUY | 0.104 | $0.65 |
| 10-10 10:19 | Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1379999964 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 18:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.196 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 21:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.9975 | $3.29 |
| 07-14 19:30 | Will William Saliba score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.07 |
| 07-14 18:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3024998003 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 18:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.372 | $2.14 |
| 07-11 23:54 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.157499876 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679998871 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:16 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939998502 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:12 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 22:22 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.57 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2424998363 | $1.00 |