hHoudini
0x13abc936c275d38bcaa29f40a271d6828952e740
- Realised P&L
- $-3.64
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.52at 0.155Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$5.75at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 30?
- +$4.99at 0.162Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 1?
- +$4.39at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?
- +$4.22at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.62 |
| 08-03 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.90 |
| 08-02 21:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.15 |
| 08-02 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.11 | $4.51 |
| 08-02 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.0677423687 | $4.90 |
| 08-02 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.90 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.34 |
| 08-01 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.90 |
| 08-01 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1278731895 | $4.81 |
| 08-01 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.1623725541 | $4.76 |
| 07-31 16:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.1028571429 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.60 |