hHoudini
0x13abc936c275d38bcaa29f40a271d6828952e740
- Realised P&L
- $14.07
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $18.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.560 | 1.000 | $6.10 | +$2.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.430 | $3.52 | −$0.16 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.225 | $3.19 | −$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.315 | $2.91 | −$0.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.300 | $2.74 | −$0.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.53at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 7?
- +$25.40at 0.009Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$19.34at 0.162Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 30?
- +$12.63at 0.184Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?
- +$11.23at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4499999878 | $3.68 |
| 10-04 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.2464788732 | $3.50 |
| 10-04 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3745244935 | $3.42 |
| 10-04 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.3799999632 | $3.51 |
| 10-03 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $3.60 |
| 10-03 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5599999869 | $3.42 |
| 10-03 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5199999551 | $3.71 |
| 10-03 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2099999978 | $3.74 |
| 10-03 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.72 |
| 10-03 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2699999879 | $3.36 |
| 10-02 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.5399999719 | $3.85 |
| 10-02 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4699999865 | $3.84 |
| 10-02 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.289999997 | $3.90 |
| 10-02 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.419999987 | $3.87 |
| 10-02 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $3.64 |