PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a5ym3tr1cvalue

0x1399c0b42c739b50a644eb959e42f4e0750b90b0

Realised P&L
$160.74
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$114.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Micron say "Nvidia" during earnings call? · Yes0.6700.780$114.09+$16.09
Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$75.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 20:58Will Micron say "Nvidia" during earnings call?BUY0.67$70.35
09-29 20:11Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?SELL0.964$39.03
09-28 22:07Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?BUY0.56$5.60
09-14 20:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8799999999$993.33
07-24 17:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$330.00
06-17 15:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.9979999955$80.00
06-10 13:03Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0409999995$75.00
05-07 13:00Will the Green Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
04-29 11:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$100.79
03-18 13:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$100.50
01-27 22:10No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.995$100.00