0x139784e12ba50c14c50435fbc3d75876f56f8729
0x139784e12ba50c14c50435fbc3d75876f56f8729
- Realised P&L
- $-2.27
- Volume
- $226.68
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $6.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.940 | $2.69 | +$1.69 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.945 | $2.49 | +$1.49 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.310 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.98at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.46at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.75at 0.359Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.41at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$2.41at 0.389Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 13:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:33 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:43 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.3549999255 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:59 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:06 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:39 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:26 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |