lodivod
0x138feab1608e22955d66534b66cfbfd06304e0bb
- Realised P&L
- $-63.88
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $8.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.835 | $5.37 | +$0.35 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.315 | $1.72 | −$0.52 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.195 | $0.92 | −$0.31 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.24at 0.186Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
- +$4.91at 0.761Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?
- +$2.21at 0.958Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.903Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
- +$1.76at 0.850US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.66 |
| 09-17 21:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.73 |
| 09-17 21:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.73 |
| 09-17 21:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9 | $6.80 |
| 09-17 21:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.89 | $6.71 |
| 09-17 14:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.01 |
| 09-17 12:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.87 |
| 09-17 12:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.02 |
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.91 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.87 |
| 09-17 05:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.02 |
| 09-17 05:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.04 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.11 |
| 09-17 05:00 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.36 |
| 09-17 04:30 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.34 | $7.56 |