FrostDays
0x138b5b2efdc9adb35d35b70ffd27f2469131b6d5
- Realised P&L
- $573.78
- Volume
- $283.2k
- Markets traded
- 5,149
- Open portfolio
- $877.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,149
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.20at 0.138Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.81at 0.852Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?
- +$4.33at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 7?
- +$4.33at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?
- +$4.33at 0.890Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.97 |
| 09-27 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $60.00 |
| 09-27 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.14 |
| 09-27 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or below on September 27? | BUY | 0.994 | $35.00 |
| 09-27 00:39 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.30 |
| 09-26 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.95 |
| 09-26 16:39 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $17.37 |
| 09-26 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $39.96 |
| 09-26 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.99 |
| 09-26 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.98 | $34.96 |
| 09-26 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on September 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.00 |
| 09-26 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 26? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.12 |