abezerra
0x138b38659b7b34a95c8521147c99598410912ed4
- Realised P&L
- $-97.52
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $921.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.347 | 0.350 | $921.32 | +$7.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.13at 0.440Will Kamala's DNC speech has between 25m and 27m viewers?
- +$80.41at 0.696Will Kamala's DNC speech have 31m or more viewers?
- +$48.50at 0.680Will Speed break the 24h backflip world record?
- +$38.20at 0.370Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
- +$35.39at 0.429Mass arrests at DNC?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:57 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 09-14 01:57 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.39 | $74.83 |
| 08-22 22:40 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3591666667 | $107.75 |
| 08-22 19:08 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.32 | $102.80 |
| 08-22 19:03 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 06-18 16:53 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 06-01 14:10 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.90 |
| 02-03 19:49 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.92 |
| 02-03 19:46 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.37 |
| 02-03 19:39 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 19:37 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 19:36 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 19:24 | Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 02-03 18:54 | Nuggets vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 02-03 15:27 | Nuggets vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |