PolyBot

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Traders

0x138525dd9a8be9fa45cbb7a57f16f359bf93e96a

0x138525dd9a8be9fa45cbb7a57f16f359bf93e96a

Realised P&L
$100.14
Volume
$101.3k
Markets traded
1,461
Open portfolio
$3.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,461
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 3? · Yes0.1200.090$3.02−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 3? · Yes0.0650.019$0.29−$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 03:25Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 3?BUY0.12$0.62
10-02 13:48Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2?SELL0.005$0.06
10-02 13:29Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2?BUY0.97$0.07
10-02 11:48Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.074$0.96
10-02 11:21Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.958$4.90
10-02 04:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.4$4.29
10-02 04:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 2?SELL0.73$4.77
10-02 03:56Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.46$4.94
10-01 12:34Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on October 1?SELL0.011$0.07
10-01 12:33Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.97$4.91
10-01 11:27Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1?SELL0.3589445438$2.01
10-01 11:26Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1?SELL0.16$4.27
10-01 02:59Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.28$1.57
09-30 21:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 30?SELL0.997$21.14
09-30 20:08Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 30?SELL0.995$10.10