0x137f6031867694a0e5a7670c86cee217291ee497
0x137f6031867694a0e5a7670c86cee217291ee497
- Realised P&L
- $-4.11
- Volume
- $141.39
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.405 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.375 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.84at 0.319Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.389Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.440Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $176 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:16 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 14:59 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:06 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $202.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:16 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:11 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.29 |
| 09-16 15:16 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.729999966 | $1.29 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.29 |
| 09-15 22:42 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.29 |
| 09-11 19:39 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999455 | $1.29 |
| 09-10 18:07 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.29 |