0x137e8da04ba7ad5f96ee64bdc8130d304707ba50
0x137e8da04ba7ad5f96ee64bdc8130d304707ba50
- Realised P&L
- $-900.59
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $0.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-09-21? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.006 | $0.93 | −$19.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8AM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.11 |
| Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 3 - 1 San Diego FC? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.57at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$63.61at 0.244Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$58.14at 0.271Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8AM ET
- +$34.56at 0.316Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$20.57at 0.172Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:30 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-09-21? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1015579676 | $16.34 |
| 09-21 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 00:06 | Exact Score: Inter Miami CF 3 - 1 San Diego FC? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.00 |
| 09-18 02:22 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.051593229 | $20.18 |
| 09-18 01:34 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 01:08 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3499999993 | $80.00 |
| 09-18 01:05 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.3613387093 | $50.00 |
| 08-26 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2526178206 | $17.11 |
| 08-26 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 08-26 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 08:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 22:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.3467412701 | $25.72 |