0x1372b87303da68e2b91f7344b710dfdb51cb4ce0
0x1372b87303da68e2b91f7344b710dfdb51cb4ce0
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 810
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded810
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $993.75 | −$6.25 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.760 | 0.755 | $794.74 | −$5.26 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.895 | $497.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $496.79 | −$3.20 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $496.79 | −$3.20 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.755 | $490.26 | −$9.74 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? · No | 0.720 | 0.725 | $302.08 | +$2.08 |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) · FC Bayern München | 0.574 | 0.565 | $98.46 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.796Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$1.5kat 0.846Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
- +$1.5kat 0.895BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5
- +$1.4kat 0.920BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 4.5
- +$1.3kat 0.875Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-07-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:30 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 10:29 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 10:28 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5738193891 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 10:28 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 03:30 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.7699999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 03:29 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7799999997 | $500.00 |
| 10-12 03:28 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.9 | $500.00 |
| 10-11 17:10 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9276666667 | $55.66 |
| 10-11 17:04 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.891928051 | $200.00 |
| 10-11 16:56 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8695652174 | $200.00 |
| 10-11 16:56 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-11 16:53 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.8729011604 | $3.0k |