0x136282ff7aea977c3a91953ec13c499f48b69df5
0x136282ff7aea977c3a91953ec13c499f48b69df5
- Realised P&L
- $274.47
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Genoa CFC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
| Will ES Troyes AC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
| Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$179.31at 0.293Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?
- +$117.79at 0.324Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
- +$115.78at 0.272Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?
- +$39.53at 0.192Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.95at 0.436Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:37 | Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999995 | $71.00 |
| 11-01 02:11 | Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999992 | $80.00 |
| 10-31 23:11 | Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999999 | $61.00 |
| 10-31 20:02 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7099999769 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 17:29 | Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999986 | $47.00 |
| 10-31 17:15 | Will ES Troyes AC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999997 | $52.00 |
| 10-30 19:19 | Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1163213075 | $20.25 |
| 10-30 13:40 | Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999986 | $47.00 |
| 10-30 13:38 | Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $44.00 |
| 10-30 02:41 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.13 |
| 10-29 23:52 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 10-29 21:59 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $161.37 |
| 10-29 13:56 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999993 | $42.00 |
| 10-29 02:11 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-28? | SELL | 0.95 | $51.62 |