PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lufios

0x135ceac86c6970205eaae28db6f79d47944fd946

Realised P&L
$-48.56
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$27.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12? · Yes0.9081.000$27.20+$2.49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 7? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$5.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 7? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$4.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 3? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 14:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?BUY0.9221717124$17.67
10-12 13:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 12?BUY0.8737940646$7.04
10-12 12:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?BUY0.9389999961$14.11
10-11 21:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?BUY0.0522452$5.22
10-11 21:15Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12?BUY0.0156$1.56
10-11 14:37Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11?BUY0.9419999784$17.92
10-11 12:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?BUY0.9499998703$4.76
10-10 14:00Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.93$17.86
10-10 13:51Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.9$7.20
10-10 13:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.1172859745$3.22
10-10 13:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?SELL0.1256721497$4.43
10-10 13:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.2424073793$11.50
10-10 13:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.2233595285$3.41
10-10 12:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?SELL0.49$1.25
10-10 12:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 10?SELL0.511087344$11.47