smuufin3
0x135681e57dd224bf6a7e1b9d44798dea8ff8c5e1
- Realised P&L
- $-197.97
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.001 | $1.04 | −$38.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.92at 0.071Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$39.42at 0.025Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$36.86at 0.416Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$28.46at 0.015Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$27.76at 0.207Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.71 |
| 09-17 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.0097157483 | $19.86 |
| 09-17 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9199999761 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.76 |
| 09-17 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.997783173 | $89.18 |
| 09-17 14:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099392505 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 14:24 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.6225925926 | $16.81 |
| 09-17 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.993 | $19.76 |
| 09-17 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8241723356 | $10.90 |
| 09-16 16:17 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.645 | $10.47 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-16 15:58 | Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 09-16 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.02 |