bibibaba
0x1353a50dfbc3c9b2be7cd5578b296d70c9a4d49d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $393.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $41.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.038 | $41.80 | −$76.10 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.99at 0.520Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
- +$36.67at 0.120Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?
- +$28.00at 0.187Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
- +$21.01at 0.145Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
- +$14.00at 0.930Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 19:51 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 06-19 19:46 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.109 | $0.80 |
| 07-28 16:47 | Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025? | SELL | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 07-06 03:05 | Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 4–11? | BUY | 0.959 | $95.90 |
| 07-06 03:04 | Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 02:55 | North Korea missile test by July 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.60 |
| 07-03 04:13 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $31.95 |
| 07-01 15:06 | Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-30 08:37 | North Korea missile test by July 15? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.60 |
| 06-28 13:41 | Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4? | BUY | 0.959 | $95.90 |
| 06-28 13:23 | Will Elon tweet 90–104 times June 27–July 4? | BUY | 0.958 | $85.61 |
| 06-28 03:12 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SELL | 0.39 | $97.50 |
| 06-26 01:42 | Israel strike on Iran on June 25? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.23 |
| 06-26 01:41 | Israel strike on Iran on June 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 06-25 18:37 | Israel strike on Iran on June 25? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.24 |