errrrrri
0x134f71cc2be8e0128edcd48db20f9252bc93e8ca
- Realised P&L
- $230.17
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,099
- Open portfolio
- $162.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,099
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.73at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?
- +$20.57at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
- +$20.57at 0.177Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26?
- +$20.32at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 20?
- +$20.06at 0.198Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 10-01 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.87 |
| 10-01 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.8199999726 | $17.98 |
| 10-01 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999694 | $11.72 |
| 10-01 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7799999902 | $1.59 |
| 10-01 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.832999999 | $8.27 |
| 10-01 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.216 | $2.16 |
| 10-01 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4099999793 | $2.57 |
| 10-01 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.7659999958 | $19.14 |
| 10-01 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 10-01 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.25 | $6.25 |
| 10-01 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.42999997 | $4.88 |