0x134EA26d057CD17d1e9Da445C24AC235f212CdfD-1774619687671
0x134ea26d057cd17d1e9da445c24ac235f212cdfd
- Realised P&L
- $197.75
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $79.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.208 | $42.00 | +$12.90 |
| Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.094 | $37.60 | +$21.10 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET · Down | 0.736 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.00at 0.267Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$25.66at 0.731LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$20.81at 0.450LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$12.70at 0.860LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$8.60at 0.723Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 13:00 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $47.39 |
| 09-10 08:15 | LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9154228853 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 15:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.27 |
| 09-09 13:06 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8671096132 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 13:05 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6670250681 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 13:05 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4325361513 | $25.00 |
| 09-09 13:05 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2682595302 | $25.00 |
| 09-05 11:21 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.156 | $27.61 |
| 08-31 22:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 13:18 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 04-04 00:04 | Thunder vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $9.90 |
| 04-04 00:03 | Thunder vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $9.89 |
| 04-01 09:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.968 | $5.01 |
| 04-01 08:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.968 | $5.01 |
| 04-01 02:29 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.93 |