PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x134EA26d057CD17d1e9Da445C24AC235f212CdfD-1774619687671

0x134ea26d057cd17d1e9da445c24ac235f212cdfd

Realised P&L
$197.75
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$79.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.1440.208$42.00+$12.90
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0410.094$37.60+$21.10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4600.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET · Down0.7360.000$0.00$3.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:00LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.82$47.39
09-10 08:15LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.9154228853$20.00
09-09 15:29LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.85$1.27
09-09 13:06Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8671096132$30.00
09-09 13:05LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.6670250681$50.00
09-09 13:05LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4325361513$25.00
09-09 13:05LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.2682595302$25.00
09-05 11:21Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.156$27.61
08-31 22:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4599999958$50.00
08-23 13:18Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.5$25.00
04-04 00:04Thunder vs. ClippersBUY0.8399999966$9.90
04-04 00:03Thunder vs. LakersBUY0.8199999902$9.89
04-01 09:27Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 30-April 5?BUY0.968$5.01
04-01 08:19Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 30-April 5?BUY0.968$5.01
04-01 02:29Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 30-April 5?BUY0.88$4.93