0x1348428f5FA76c7D2C747Dcfc9437F7F9D9287da-1779572201781
0x1348428f5fa76c7d2c747dcfc9437f7f9d9287da
- Realised P&L
- $164.78
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $139.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No | 0.460 | 0.470 | $47.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No | 0.090 | 0.460 | $46.00 | +$37.00 |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? · No | 0.870 | 0.875 | $35.00 | +$0.20 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.230 | $11.50 | +$1.50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.290 | 0.002 | $0.15 | −$28.85 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.069 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$17.87 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$852.97 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.222 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.075Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$-17.63at 0.040Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:05 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 07-31 17:16 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 07-26 07:28 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0396041172 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 21:06 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 05-26 22:00 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 05-26 06:26 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $119.72 |
| 05-26 05:46 | Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 05-25 18:36 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | SELL | 0.0047318 | $2.37 |