PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1348428f5FA76c7D2C747Dcfc9437F7F9D9287da-1779572201781

0x1348428f5fa76c7d2c747dcfc9437f7f9d9287da

Realised P&L
$336.01
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$365.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0900.840$84.00+$75.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.5000.665$66.50+$16.50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.535$53.50+$5.50
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3100.395$48.59+$10.43
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? · Yes0.2900.395$39.50+$10.50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3000.240$24.00$6.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.3000.195$19.50$10.50
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.1870.145$17.40$5.00
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0600.075$7.50+$1.50
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.3670.015$5.25$123.25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.2900.000$0.00$29.00
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$852.97
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.2220.000$0.00$55.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0690.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:42Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.8062616262$80.62
09-09 05:24Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.48$48.00
09-05 09:27Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?BUY0.16$6.40
09-05 09:18Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.36$11.86
09-04 22:27Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.63$31.50
09-03 06:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.006$0.60
08-23 20:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.963$96.30
08-17 16:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.05$4.43
08-14 21:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8$80.00
08-13 15:52Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.62$28.95
08-11 16:30Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.37$37.00
08-08 07:43US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.37$37.00
08-08 07:37Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.033$3.47
08-06 20:26Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.32$20.16
08-06 13:37Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.038$3.99