0x1348428f5FA76c7D2C747Dcfc9437F7F9D9287da-1779572201781
0x1348428f5fa76c7d2c747dcfc9437f7f9d9287da
- Realised P&L
- $336.01
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $365.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.075Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$60.00at 0.370US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
- +$60.00at 0.370US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.720US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$34.62at 0.460Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 14:42 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.8062616262 | $80.62 |
| 09-09 05:24 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 09-05 09:27 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 09-05 09:18 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.36 | $11.86 |
| 09-04 22:27 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-03 06:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.60 |
| 08-23 20:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $96.30 |
| 08-17 16:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.43 |
| 08-14 21:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-13 15:52 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $28.95 |
| 08-11 16:30 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-08 07:43 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 08-08 07:37 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.47 |
| 08-06 20:26 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.16 |
| 08-06 13:37 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.99 |