PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1348428f5FA76c7D2C747Dcfc9437F7F9D9287da-1779572201781

0x1348428f5fa76c7d2c747dcfc9437f7f9d9287da

Realised P&L
$164.78
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$139.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.4600.470$47.00+$1.00
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0900.460$46.00+$37.00
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? · No0.8700.875$35.00+$0.20
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? · Yes0.2000.230$11.50+$1.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.2900.002$0.15$28.85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0690.001$0.13$17.87
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00$852.97
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? · No0.2220.000$0.00$55.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 21:05Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.87$34.80
07-31 17:16Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.09$9.00
07-26 07:28Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0396041172$5.00
07-22 21:06Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4099999969$50.00
05-26 22:00Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.15$150.00
05-26 06:26Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.11$119.72
05-26 05:46Israel closes its airspace by May 31?BUY0.11$220.00
05-25 18:36Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?SELL0.0047318$2.37