H-273
0x1340d8b4ccc21db503bfca92698888baab1fb077
- Realised P&L
- $167.71
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $46.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.23at 0.150Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
- +$97.90at 0.085Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$28.80at 0.040Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$23.91at 0.250Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$19.80at 0.034Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 02:17 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 07-10 23:09 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 04:41 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 07-07 23:16 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 07-03 21:49 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 21:49 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:25 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.66 |
| 07-02 19:24 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 07-02 19:23 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.75 |
| 06-29 19:21 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 06-27 20:26 | South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 05:19 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.23 |
| 06-27 01:49 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 01:48 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 01:47 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |