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Traders

H-273

0x1340d8b4ccc21db503bfca92698888baab1fb077

Realised P&L
$167.71
Volume
$35.0k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$46.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.055$14.49+$0.05
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.5960.275$13.75$16.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3020.225$11.32$3.88
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$4.50$2.50
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.055$1.38$1.13
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · No0.4900.264$0.64$0.55
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.35
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$50.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · No0.1600.000$0.00$16.00
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 02:17Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?SELL0.57$11.40
07-10 23:09Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.5$10.00
07-08 04:41Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.61$6.10
07-07 23:16Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.55$5.50
07-03 21:49Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
07-03 21:49Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-02 19:25Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.002$0.66
07-02 19:24Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.027$1.08
07-02 19:23Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.035$1.75
06-29 19:21Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 2, 2026?SELL0.57$2.85
06-27 20:26South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5BUY0.2199998548$1.00
06-27 05:19Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.101$0.23
06-27 01:49Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-27 01:48Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
06-27 01:47Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.3699998631$1.00