PolyBot

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Traders

Water6677

0x133c53265e00da01f233e8df1534a918ec3718b8

Realised P&L
$362.37
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$95.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.5100.505$79.22−$0.78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.2300.075$16.30−$33.70
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.3540.001$0.07−$49.28
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$35.00
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00−$100.00
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$35.00
Iwaki FC vs. Blaublitz Akita: O/U 1.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00−$50.00
Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5) · Eintracht Frankfurt0.2900.000$0.00−$47.35
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00−$47.45
Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$76.00
Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$50.00
Montedio Yamagata vs. Vegalta Sendai: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$81.23
Southampton FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5370.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 19:42Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5099999971$80.00
10-13 19:28Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$82.23
10-13 17:11Villarreal CF vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5BUY0.5699999964$46.92
10-13 17:09Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.2299999993$50.00
10-13 16:02Will Belgium win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.3542572272$49.35
10-13 14:54Slovenia vs. Turkiye: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5498295512$50.00
10-13 14:36Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-13?SELL0.999$108.58
10-13 14:36Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-13?SELL0.999$192.11
10-13 12:54Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
10-13 11:58Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.2599999991$50.00
10-13 11:23Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.2399999995$40.00
10-13 10:18Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.2899999996$15.00
10-13 10:17Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.28$35.00
10-13 07:05Will Newcastle United Jets win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.2399999992$50.00
10-12 19:11Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.2999999994$50.00