PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fsx45

0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22

Realised P&L
$82.2k
Volume
$13.09M
Markets traded
372
Open portfolio
$21.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded372
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0390.050$10.0k+$2.1k
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.019$4.5k+$1.7k
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0200.035$3.6k+$1.6k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0370.051$2.5k+$671.37
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.005$500.00+$403.97
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.0730.000$0.00−$92.04
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.52
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.4800.000$0.00−$48.00
Penn State vs. Northwestern · Penn State0.0010.000$0.00−$7.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 03:30Spread: Falcons (-6.5)BUY0.991$37.89
10-09 02:23Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.013$1.3k
10-06 20:48Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$480.00
10-06 20:48Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$600.00
10-06 20:48Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$600.00
10-06 15:46Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.067$3.83
10-03 02:59Penn State vs. NorthwesternBUY0.001$5.00
09-17 16:22Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$23.31
09-16 20:04Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$50.00
09-16 20:04Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$50.00
09-16 20:04Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$50.00
09-16 20:04Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$50.00
08-22 18:07Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.7646314777$3.8k
08-22 17:25Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.762$1.3k
08-19 01:54Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$1.04