fsx45
0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22
- Realised P&L
- $83.4k
- Volume
- $12.09M
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $30.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.2kat 0.842Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$9.2kat 0.353Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
- +$8.6kat 0.904Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$8.4kat 0.750Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$6.7kat 0.828Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:22 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $23.31 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 18:07 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7646314777 | $3.8k |
| 08-22 17:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.762 | $1.3k |
| 08-19 01:54 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.04 |
| 08-17 22:29 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0168673647 | $48.32 |
| 08-17 20:07 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0341998126 | $1.82 |
| 08-17 20:07 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0383010839 | $6.64 |
| 08-17 20:04 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0528900474 | $0.56 |
| 08-05 05:59 | Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.0102630122 | $1.48 |
| 08-05 05:58 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.0119127749 | $6.63 |
| 08-05 03:59 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.0469710644 | $52.48 |