fsx45
0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22
- Realised P&L
- $82.2k
- Volume
- $13.09M
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $21.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.050 | $10.0k | +$2.1k |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.019 | $4.5k | +$1.7k |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.035 | $3.6k | +$1.6k |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.051 | $2.5k | +$671.37 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.005 | $500.00 | +$403.97 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.04 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.52 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
| Penn State vs. Northwestern · Penn State | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.2kat 0.842Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$9.2kat 0.353Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
- +$8.6kat 0.904Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$8.4kat 0.750Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$6.7kat 0.828Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 03:30 | Spread: Falcons (-6.5) | BUY | 0.991 | $37.89 |
| 10-09 02:23 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.3k |
| 10-06 20:48 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $480.00 |
| 10-06 20:48 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $600.00 |
| 10-06 20:48 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $600.00 |
| 10-06 15:46 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.067 | $3.83 |
| 10-03 02:59 | Penn State vs. Northwestern | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 16:22 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $23.31 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 20:04 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 08-22 18:07 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7646314777 | $3.8k |
| 08-22 17:25 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.762 | $1.3k |
| 08-19 01:54 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.04 |