fsx45
0x133ba4d001ae339bfb08631eead95c5dabe92f22
- Realised P&L
- $77.6k
- Volume
- $11.03M
- Markets traded
- 368
- Open portfolio
- $36.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded368
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.049 | $11.6k | +$2.6k |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.051 | $10.3k | +$2.4k |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $8.3k | +$1.8k |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.015 | $4.1k | +$799.38 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $977.82 | −$156.09 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.005 | $752.53 | +$32.43 |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.2kat 0.842Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$9.2kat 0.353Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
- +$8.6kat 0.905Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$8.4kat 0.750Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$6.7kat 0.828Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 19:26 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0510923927 | $5.7k |
| 07-24 18:16 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.011 | $176.86 |
| 07-15 21:16 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.19 |
| 07-14 21:17 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.24 | $292.23 |
| 07-14 21:17 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.2408717192 | $331.58 |
| 07-05 23:20 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.033 | $3.6k |
| 06-26 02:16 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.081 | $201.28 |
| 06-26 02:05 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.01 | $6.23 |
| 06-26 00:38 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $631.59 |
| 06-22 00:10 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.1k |
| 06-20 17:47 | Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | BUY | 0.13 | $70.19 |
| 06-20 04:13 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.6k |
| 06-20 04:11 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $990.00 |
| 06-17 18:22 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $582.10 |
| 06-07 19:28 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.013 | $440.28 |