PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

357322

0x1338463defd9f7264c24faf5edae622fe40efd2c

Realised P&L
$-196.38
Volume
$24.0k
Markets traded
495
Open portfolio
$51.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded495
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 23:44Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 3°C on October 19?SELL0.999$9.99
10-19 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 2°C or below on October 19?BUY0.985$19.71
10-19 15:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?BUY0.8277093254$8.34
10-19 13:59Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?BUY0.919$9.19
10-19 13:55Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?BUY0.994$105.30
10-19 13:54Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 19?BUY0.985$15.76
10-19 12:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.95$6.51
10-19 11:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?SELL0.999$16.45
10-19 10:12Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on October 19?BUY0.97$4.85
10-19 09:11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on October 19?SELL0.99$4.46
10-19 07:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?SELL0.1898242188$0.97
10-19 07:09Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 19?SELL0.999$5.00
10-19 07:09Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on October 19?SELL0.999$10.91
10-19 07:07Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 19?SELL0.999$19.99
10-19 07:06Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 19?SELL0.999$49.96