PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

note1

0x13327b8b3d338569386bce68e0a1ea3634a6762d

Realised P&L
$-180.78
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$152.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No0.9990.999$149.92−$0.07
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11? · Yes0.0440.052$2.29+$0.37
$EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$5.00
Colts vs. Texans · Colts0.3220.000$0.00−$3.00
Will $BTC reach 70k before October? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$10.00
Titans vs. Lions · Titans0.1700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump wins every swing state? · No0.7670.000$0.00−$90.00
Farcaster airdrop in 2024? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$6.00
Commanders vs. Lions · Lions0.8300.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia rally on October 23? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:36Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11?BUY0.0439999996$1.92
10-09 19:35Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11?BUY0.999$150.00
10-01 18:59Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.994999999$150.00
09-25 19:25Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.998$150.00
09-12 09:41Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999941$6.00
09-12 09:33Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?BUY0.995$150.00
09-06 17:47Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.998$155.00
08-25 19:15Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?BUY0.995$155.00
08-18 19:08Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?BUY0.9965083333$119.58
08-02 17:19Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2?BUY0.999$121.88
07-23 18:52Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?BUY0.9949999934$121.00
07-06 19:48Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?BUY0.9909999999$120.00
05-10 08:18Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?BUY0.8879999999$100.00
05-01 16:04Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3?BUY0.999$100.00
05-01 16:03Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?BUY0.0539999504$1.00