note1
0x13327b8b3d338569386bce68e0a1ea3634a6762d
- Realised P&L
- $-180.78
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $152.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.23at 0.109Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?
- +$80.18at 0.550Solana above $150 on September 27?
- +$78.33at 0.106Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?
- +$32.79at 0.379Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
- +$28.78at 0.410Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:36 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.0439999996 | $1.92 |
| 10-09 19:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 10-01 18:59 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.994999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-25 19:25 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $150.00 |
| 09-12 09:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 09:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.995 | $150.00 |
| 09-06 17:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $155.00 |
| 08-25 19:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $155.00 |
| 08-18 19:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.9965083333 | $119.58 |
| 08-02 17:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $121.88 |
| 07-23 18:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9949999934 | $121.00 |
| 07-06 19:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $120.00 |
| 05-10 08:18 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.8879999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 16:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 16:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |